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The Exit Guessing Game – How Much Will They Be Worth

Below is a list of consumer focused startups:

Based upon the post from yesterday regarding whether the VC model is broken, the above matrix determines what each company will need to exit at should sell to return a 20x for their investor at different equity stakes.  Since the ownership amount is not public there are two examples 33% and 50% of the company. Though, with some of the above companies that have received a number of different rounds of investment, the percent of the company owned by investors might be a lot more than 50%.

Do you think these companies could possibly see numbers like these?  Admittedly, these startups are shooting for the moon (except Robot Co-op?).

The above data was provided by CrunchBase and we cannot attest to its accuracy. This exercise does not take into account liquidation preferences, downrounds, or other factors.

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